Abstract:
Ethiopia Productive safety net program (PSNP) is one of the largest social protection programs in
Africa, receiving significant attention from the Ethiopian government and from donors. It was being
under implementation for more than 19-years (since January 2005) and will continue to undefined
periods. This study was assessed and evaluated the impact of PSNP in building households resilience
from climate change shocks on the selected livelihood assets of Dire Dawa Administration rural
Kebele households. To this end, cross-sectional research design method was used for the study. Data
were collected from 394 randomly selected rural households, comprising 177 PSNP participants and
217 non-PSNP participants from four PSNP Kebeles within the Administration. Data were analyzed
using descriptive and inferential statistics, along with econometric (PSM) model analysis. Findings of
descriptive and logit results showed that out of 12 explanatory variables, 8 variables were
influencing factors in determining PSNP participation towards resilience. Also, descriptive results of
outcome variables revealed that among program participants and non-participants, the total annual
income has increased on average by 30198.6 birr and 29464 birr respectively. The average livestock
holding was 3.2 TLU and 3.3 TLU for participant and non-participant households, respectively.
Propensity Score Matching (PSM) model with radius caliper (0.1) matching techniques was used to
estimate the counterfactual results to investigate the impact of the program. It was found that PSNP
have positive impact on participant’s annual income and education expense, and negative impact on
client’s physical productive livelihood asset (livestock holding). Besides, the average treatment effect
on treated (ATT) was positive and significant on outcome variables of annual income and education
expense at 1% significant level except livestock holding which is negatively affected by the program.
Thus, PSNP enabled program participants in financial assets and human assets which supporting
participants in building their resilience, but still productive assets not supporting as expected in
building their resilience. In addition, the finding of the study using descriptive statistics showed that
more than 65% of household participants have negative graduation perceptions; and participants’
build dependency syndrome on the program which also results negative impact towards their climatic
resiliency. In addition, the result of the study also indicates as, Low credit provision, Low Extension
Services, Low Community Participation, Premature Graduation, Inadequate Capacity Building,
Graduation by Quota, Inadequate Livelihood Support, Absence of Asset Registration, Low wage
rates, Absence of Job Opportunity, Drought, and High Food Price were the major challenging
graduation problems towards their resiliency. Therefore, in order to make the beneficiaries to be
better build their resilience, more focus has to be given on introducing and access to market-oriented
improved small ruminant livestock breeds, awareness creation trainings on graduation perceptions
and criteria, livelihood diversification, job creation, access to credit, extension, and technology, and
safeguarding mechanisms like risk financing, are the major advisable activities so as to enhance
participants climatic resilience.